Wednesday, November 20, 2019

UCSB vs. Oregon State Men's Basketball Game Preview, by Gaucho Freg

Sekou Toure (Photo by Eric Isaacs)
UCSB @ Oregon State
Wednesday, November 20, 2019, 7pm
Quick Bite:  Coach Wayne Tinkle has an experienced core of players to build around.  Optimism is high at Oregon State for the 2019-20 men’s basketball season, as the Beavers return three of five starters, including Pac-12 player of the year candidate Tres Tinkle, plus a promising freshman class.  He will need to find some depth if this group is going to take a big step forward in 2019-2020.

By the Numbers                                    
OSU logo.jpg (4.88KiB)
UCSB logo small.png (7.12KiB)
2019-20 Record 3-1 1-2
Home/away vs D1 2-0 (H) 0-1 (A)
 National Rankings
Composite (DCI 1&2, BPI, SOR, KP, Massey, RPI, Sagarin) 74 189
SOS 170 262
CBS Preseason Rank 78 162
SI Preseason Rank 74 137
Preseason Poll Pick 6th-9th 2nd
Efficiency Rankings (Pomeroy)    
Offense 39 92
Defense 95 274
Scoring 79.8 75.0
FG% 46% 54%
3Pt % 42% 38%
FT% 71% 79%
PPG Allowed 70.2  
FG % Defense 42%  
3Pt % Defense 33%  
Steals PG 5.3 4.3
Blocks PG 5.8 3.3
Rebounding Margin + 4.3 + 0.3

Best win:  Iowa St.
Worst Loss:  Oklahoma

OSU-UCSB History
UCSB All-time record vs. Beavers:  2-3
Last game (2015):  OSU defeated UCSB in Santa Barbara 71-59, following their 2014 victory over the Gauchos in Corvallis the year before.  UCSB last defeated the Beavers in 1988, in Santa Barbara by a score of 71-70.  It was Gary Payton’s freshman year.

The Arena:  Gill Coliseum opened in 1949 and seats 9,604.  Last year home attendance averaged 5,161.  It has hosted the NCAA tournament 11 times, the last in 1983 which included the famous NC State comeback victory over Pepperdine in the 1st round, on their way to their improbable national championship.  They are averaging 4,798 this season. 

Head Coach: Wayne Tinkle enters his 6th season at the helm of the Beavers, with a record of 78-84.  Previously he had a successful 8 year run at Montana and has an overall record of 233-174.  He led the Beavers to their most successful conference season in over 25 years last year, a 4th place finish in the P12 and first winning conference record since 1990.  At Montana, he won two Big Sky COY honors and led the Grizzlies to the NCAAs three times.
Roster & Overview: Return 3 of their top 5 scorers including preseason All Pac 12 Tress Tinkle who is averaging a double-double so far this season.  Oregon State ranked 151st nationally in scoring offense last year, averaging 73.4 points per contest. Much of the Beavers’ offensive inconsistency could be attributed to a poor 32.1 three-point percentage: 293rd among all Division One teams. “We have to shoot it better. We didn’t shoot it well from three last year as a team,” said Tinkle. “The fact that we have more threats in the paint will help us, because we’ll make the defense collapse more than we were able to a year ago.”
The Beavers’ rebounding numbers weren’t much better, as they clocked in at 104th nationally in rebounding margin. Despite having size in the post with Kelley and Rakocevic, allowing opponents to crash the offensive glass was a critical weakness of last year’s squad.  Improvement on the boards has been a major point of emphasis in practice throughout the offseason.
“If our bigs are rebounding it, then our guys like Tres and Ethan can be running the wings where they’re very dangerous,” Tinkle explained. “We haven’t been able to take advantage of that, because those two have been our leading rebounders. We continue to focus on it. It’s something that we work on every day in practice, but then they’ve got to carry it out come game time.”

Tres Tinkle will again be the top player for the Beavers. As a junior last season the 6’8” forward averaged 20.8 points, 8.1 rebounds, 3.8 assists and 1.7 steals. Tinkle does it all for this team and he can carry them a long way. Oregon State runs a lot of screening and cutting action away from the ball, designed to create open looks by exploiting overextended and undisciplined off-ball defense. Tinkle has the lateral mobility, handle, shooting touch and passing vision most guards envy and will often run this offense as a point-forward. His height allows him to see passing lanes over the defender, while his quickness enables him to attack a less athletic forward off-the-dribble.
Ethan Thompson will help too and be the #2 scorer on the team.  The 6-5 junior averaged 13.7 points, 3.9 assists and 5.0 rebounds. Big man Kylor Kelley is excellent off the pick & roll though he doesn’t do much scoring on his own.  The seven-footer ranked second in the nation with 104 blocks and added 5.0 rebounds per game. Forward Alfred Hollins only averaged 4.8 points and 3.7 rebounds, but he is a solid glue guy who does a lot of the dirty work. Payton Dastrup, a transfer from BYU, highlights the group of newcomers. He did not play much during his two seasons with the Cougars, yet he does have the size and experience to make a big impact. Freshmen Jarod Lucas, Gianni Hunt and Julien Franklin are talented guards that will need to provide some quality depth right away. Tinkle and Thompson can carry Oregon State to the postseason, but in order to make the NCAA Tournament, a couple others will have to emerge as consistent scoring threats.
Possible Starters

Ethan Thompson  #5  Guard, Junior, 6’5” 195 lbs  13.3 ppg, 32% from deep, 5.5 rpg, 4.5 apg, 35 mpg
Zach Reichle #11 Guard, Junior, 6’5” 205  11 ppg, 47% from deep 5 rpb, 26 mpg
Tress Tinkle  #3 Forward, Senior 6’7” 215 lbs  21.5 ppg, 45% from deep, 10.5 rpg, 4.8 apg, 36 mpg
Alfred Hollins  #3 Forward, Junior 6’6” 205 lbs, 6 ppg, 24 mpg
Kylor Kelly  #23 Forward/Center Senior,  7’0” 215 lbs  12.8 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 26 mpg

Possible Key Reserves:
Jarod Lucas #2  Guard, Freshman, 6’3, 195lb, 5.3 ppg, 18 mpg big time scorer, 5-10 from deep
Gianni Hunt, #0  Guard, Freshman, 6’3, 180lb, 3-6 from deep, 10 mpg
Payton Dastrup  #15 Forward, Junior, 6’10”, 240 lb.  Transfer from BYU

Match-up & prediction:
Oregon State is one of the best offensive teams in the country and UCSB is one of the worst defensive teams.  We don’t have a player that can stop Tinkle.  OSU is big too, their smallest starting player is 6’5”  Prior to the season, I thought the Gauchos had a shot at this but unless something radical has happened to the team’s defense since Saturday afternoon, the Gauchos will again get run out the door in the second half.  We are good enough on the offensive side of the court0 to compete for a while before the legs wear out and the shots stop falling.

Keys to the game for the Gauchos
·         Can we please have the 2018-19 versions of Devearl Ramsey and Jaquori McLaughlin back please?
·         Cyrus shows us the defense Pasternack praised him for prior to the season. 
·         Sow & Idehen stay out of foul trouble. 
·         Miracle Max.

Prediction:  OSU 82  UCSB 71

Official Site
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How to Watch:   Pac12 Network

OSU Season Preview and Game Peview Links:
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Fun facts about OSU:
In basketball, OSU made the Final Four in 1963, losing to two-time defending champion Cincinnati.  They made the Elite 8 in 1982 but those wins were later vacated.  This was in the middle of one of the best runs in school history in the 70s & 80s under coach Ralph Miller, who’s name graces the court in Gill Coliseum.  OSU was ranked #1 in the country for around half of the 1980-81 season but were upset in the first round of the tournament as  one seed. They’ve made it to the tournament just one time in the last 29 years, losing in the first round in 2016 as a 7 seed.
Current UCSB junior Jaquori McLaughlin played his freshman year in Corvallis and owns the OSU freshman 3 pointers record.  He’s their 7th on their all-time freshmen scoring list.

The school was founded in 1868.  Dick Fosbury, one the greatest innovators in all of sports as the inventor of the Fosbury Flop (High Jump), competed at OSU winning both the NCAA championship and the gold medal at the 1968 Olympic Games in Mexico City.

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