Saturday, December 17, 2022

UCSB vs Portland State Game Preview, by gauchodan

Game 10
UCSB at Portland State
Saturday, December 17, 2022, 7:00 pm PST
Portland, Ore.
 
Quick Bite
The Gauchos (7-2) are on a 3-game winning streak and have generally looked better with D1 wins over Pacific and at Pepperdine.  UCSB's bench got a lot of experience in a win over San Diego Christian.  It still feels, however, that we haven't seen the best of this team yet.  Unless Cole Anderson is on the court, there is no one that scares opponents with their outside shooting.  Teams can concentrate on packing it in against Andre Kelly and company.  Improved three-point shooting will help turn this team into a real threat.

The Vikings (5-6) are playing their only home game over a 40-day span.  PSU's next home game won't come until Jan. 12 against Northern Arizona.  Portland State comes off a strong road performance, albeit a loss, dropping a game at Santa Clara 78-75.  The Vikings led by a point inside of one minute to play, but the Broncos scored on each of their final three possessions to come away with a victory.  Despite the loss, the Vikings bounced back from their poorest offensive outing of the year in a 72-49 loss at Cal Poly on Dec. 10.  Portland State has beaten Oregon State twice this season.

UCSB-Portland State History
UCSB leads the series 3-0.
1980-81: W 90-79 at Santa Barbara
2018-19: W 76-69 at Portland
2019-20: W 81-70 at Santa Barbara

The Arena
Viking Pavilion
Capacity: 3,094
The significant $50 million renovation of the outdated Peter W. Stott athletics facility has transformed the South Park Blocks, creating a one-of-a-kind game-day experiences for Portland State students, faculty, staff, alumni, and fans.  Nestled in the heart of downtown Portland, the 3,000-seat Viking Pavilion is the hub of Portland State Athletics and the bustling urban campus of 29,000 students.  The building is a lively center for academics, athletics, the arts and community events.  Viking Pavilion has a brand new entrance and glass windows that open onto the South Park Blocks, as well as an energy-efficient design and construction that demonstrate PSU's commitment to sustainability.  The renovated building includes 15,000 square feet for studying, tutoring and advising.

Head Coach
Jase Coburn
overall/Portland State: 19-23 (.452) 
Coburn, 39, was promoted in 2021 after 8 seasons as an assistant at Portland State.  Coburn got his start coaching at Corona del Sol High School in Tempe as an assistant before moving on to Phoenix Junior College as an assistant.  He was named the head coach at McClintock High School in Tempe at the age of 23 in 2007 and led them to a state championship by the time he was 26.  He was also an assistant at Howard Junior College in Texas before joining Portland State.

Portland State Roster
Jorell Saterfield #23 JR G, 6-4 191, Chicago, IL -- 15.5 Pts, 4.3 Reb, 1.1 Ast
Cameron Parker #1 SR G, 6-2, 170 Beaverton, OR -- 14.5 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 5.4 Ast
Hunter Woods #25 SR G, 6-5 196, Pasadena, CA -- 10.9 Pts, 5.4 Reb, 1.5 Ast
Isiah Kirby #5 SO G, 6-3 195, Fort Lauderdale, FL -- 8.1 Pts, 2.9 Reb, 1.4 Ast
Bobby Harvey #2 SR G, 6-3 200, Chicago, IL -- 7.2 Pts, 2.1 Reb, 0.5 Ast
Mikal Starks #33 SR G, 6-0 185, Miami, FL -- 5.8 Pts, 1.6 Reb, 2.3 Ast
Keshaun Saunders #55 JR G, 6-5 190, Brampton, Canada -- 5.4 Pts, 0.9 Reb, 2.0 Ast
Isaiah Johnson #22 JR F, 6-6 209, Torrance, CA -- 4.2 Pts, 2.5 Reb, 0.5 Ast
Hayden Curtiss #10 SO F, 6-9 205, North Bend, WA -- 3.4 Pts, 2.3 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Kendall Munson #4 JR F, 6-8 210, Seattle, WA -- 2.8 Pts, 2.4 Reb, 0.3 Ast
Jacob Eyman #32 JR F, 6-10 225, Los Alamitos, CA -- 2.5 Pts, 3.6 Reb, 0.7 Ast
Trey Wood #12 JR F, 6-9 210, Anthem, AZ -- 3.5 Pts, 2.2 Reb, 0.5 Ast
Emmanuel Taban #15 JR F, 6-7 171, Phoenix, AZ -- 3.5 Pts, 0.3 Reb, 0.3 Ast

UCSB Roster
Ajay Mitchell #13 SO G, 6-4 180, Sainte Marie Namur (Belgium) -- 13.6 Pts, 2.6 Reb, 4.7 Ast
Miles Norris #5 SR F, 6-10 220, San Diego, CA -- 13.2 Pts, 6,1 Reb, 2.1 Ast
Andre Kelly #2 SR F, 6-8 255, Stockton, CA -- 9.9 Pts, 8.3 Reb, 1.2 Ast
Josh Pierre-Louis #1 SR G, 6-4 185, Plainfield, NJ -- 10.8 Pts, 3.6 Reb, 2.5 Ast
Cole Anderson #4 SO G, 6-4 185, Fresno, CA -- 7.7 Pts, 1.4 Reb, 0.8 Ast
Ajare Sanni #3 SR G, 6-3 170, Houston, TX -- 7.8 Pts, 2.1 Reb, 1.0 Ast
Calvin Wishart #10 SR G, 6-1 180, Delano, MN -- 6.3 Pts, 3.1 Reb, 3.2 Ast
Jakov Kukic #14 JR F, 6-10 230, Split, Croatia -- 2.3 Pts, 3.0 Reb, 0.1 Ast
Zach Harvey #11 SO G, 6-5 195, Topeka, KS -- 2.2 Pts, 0.6 Reb, 0.0 Ast
Koat Keat Tong #00 FR F, 6-9 215, Bentiu, South Sudan -- 0.9 Pts, 2.3 Reb, 0.1 Ast
Evans Kipruto #12 JR F, 6-8 250, Nairobi, Kenya -- 1.0 Pts, 1.3 Reb, 0.0 Ast
Matija Belic #32 FR G, 6-7 205, Belgrade, Serbia -- 0.4 Pts, 1.2 Reb, 0.2 Ast
Gage Gomez #50 JR G, 6-3 190, Arroyo Grande, CA -- 1.0 Pts, 0.0 Reb, 1.0 Ast
David Pickles #40 SO F, 6-10 235, Seattle, WA -- 1.0 Pts, 1.0 Reb, 0.0 Ast
Ariel Bland #23 SO F, 6-7 215, Eden Prairie, MN -- 0.0 Pts, 1.5 Reb, 0.0 Ast
Henry Hartwell #51 FR G, 6-5 180, Oceanside, CA -- 0.0 Pts, 0.5 Reb, 0.0 Ast
Max Sheldon #53 SO G, 5-11 180, Santa Barbara, CA -- 0.0 Pts, 0.0 Reb, 0.0 Ast
 
Portland State National Ranking Outliers
Team
Assists per game: 75 (15.5)
Bench points per game: 8 (35.0)
Fastbreak points: 15 (17.18)
Fouls per game: 351 (23.3)
Free Throw attempts per game: 48 (21.2)
Free Throws made per game: 37 (15.8)
Free Throw percentage: 53 (74.7%)
Rebounds (defensive) per game: 318 (22.73)
Scoring offense: 37 (81.1 ppg)
Steals per game: 61 (8.5)
Three Point attempts per game: 42 (26.2)
Turnovers forced per game: 19 (17.91)
Turnover margin: 20 (+4.7)
Three Pointers per game: 50 (9.1)
Player
Cameron Parker -- Assist/Turnover ratio: 79 (2.35), Assists per game: 30 (5.4), Assists: 42 (54), Free Throw attempts: 31 (66), Free Throw percentage: 76 (86.4%), Free Throws: 14 (57)
Hunter Woods -- Steals: 42 (23), Steals per game: 59 (2.09)
Jorell Saterfield -- Field Goal attempts: 98 (141), Three Point attempts: 34 (81), Three Point percentage: 81 (.383), Three Pointers per game: 54 (2.82), Total 3-Point FGM: 37 (31)

UCSB National Ranking Outliers
Team
Assists per game: 66 (15.7)
Fastbreak points: 68 (13.11)
Field Goal percentage: 39 (48.6%)
Fouls per game: 55 (14.8)
Free Throw percentage: 286 (66.1%)
Rebound margin: 33 (+7.2)
Rebounds (defensive) per game: 58 (27.56)
Three Point attempts per game: 326 (17.2)
Three Pointers per game: 312 (5.8)
Winning percentage: 52 (77.8%)
Players
Ajay Mitchell -- Assists per game: 70 (4.7)
Andre Kelly -- Rebounds (defensive) per game: 46 (6.44), Rebounds per game: 70 (8.3)

Prediction
Statistically, Portland State looks similar to Pepperdine.  KPom ranks Portland State 15th in the nation in adjusted tempo.  The Gauchos were able to slow the Waves down last weekend, and they will need to be at their best defensively again.  PSU can maintain its pace due to its liberal substitution patterns, something UCSB has not been able to develop except in non-D1 games.  The Gauchos should have a big advantage on the boards, and it looks like they'll be going to the free throw line a lot.  UCSB has been bad at the FT line this season, but it feels like the guys missing FT's are not normally bad FT shooters.  Should be another close one.  UCSB 75, Portland State 74.

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